bell-weth-er 1.the leading sheep of a flock, with a bell on its neck; 2.an indicator or predictor of something.
.... What Walker must do is change that narrative ... he must convince a majority their real choice is not about which politician will run their state government but whether an unelected union will continue to have a stranglehold on the state’s purse.
We don’t know for sure how he will fare, but if, as he did in 2010, Walker can prevail on this issue, what the Democrats will have done is to make him far more powerful than he was before the battle. Having successfully fended off such an attack, Walker will assume a position of national importance in the GOP and be at the top of the list of possible Republican presidential candidates in 2016 should Obama be re-elected.
Given how high the stakes will be, we can expect that both sides will be pouring in money from outside the state as the recall nears. As such, it will be considered an early bellwether for not only how Wisconsin will vote in the presidential contest this fall but also how the nation as a whole will decide. Walker’s defeat will encourage the Democrats and the unions to think the GOP win in 2010 was just a passing phase. But if Walker succeeds, it will be a signal that the Tea Party revolt that put him into office is just getting started.

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